The population of Estonia in 2085 is projected to be 1.2 million

Posted on 13 June 2024, 8:00

Today, Statistics Estonia releases the latest population projection for 2024–2085. Various key demographic indicators are published, including the population size of Estonia which is projected to be about 1.2 million in 2085. The population will decrease due to low fertility and population ageing.

Based on the projection, life expectancy in 2085 will be 85.3 years for men and 90.9 years for women. Natural increase will remain negative.

Additional scenarios, migration estimates, population distribution by age group, and other relevant indicators will be presented today at the press conference held by Statistics Estonia and the Ministry of Social Affairs. The event takes place in the joint building of the ministries (Suur-Ameerika 1) and begins at 10:00. The projection will be discussed by Terje Trasberg, team lead of population and education statistics at Statistics Estonia, and Hede Sinisaar, Head of Department of Analysis and Statistics at the Ministry of Social Affairs.

Please register for the press conference and bring valid ID. The planned duration of the press conference is 30 minutes.

The population projection was made in consultation with Estonian population experts, including Tiit Tammaru (University of Tartu), Allan Puur (Tallinn University), Alis Tammur (Ministry of Social Affairs) and Ene-Margit Tiit (Statistics Estonia).

More detailed data have been published in the statistical database. See also the population projection section on our website.

When using Statistics Estonia’s data and graphs, please indicate the source.

For further information:

Heidi Kukk
Media Relations Manager
Marketing and Dissemination Department
Statistics Estonia
Tel +372 625 9181
press [at]


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