Industrial production was down by 3.1% in March

News
Posted on 6 May 2026, 8:00

According to Statistics Estonia, in March 2026, the total production of industrial enterprises decreased by 3.1% at constant prices compared with March 2025. Among the three industrial sectors, output increased by 5.9% in mining but decreased by 19.5% in energy production and by 1.2% in manufacturing.

Riin Kadarik. Photo: Statistics Estonia, Uku Nurges

Riin Kadarik, leading analyst at Statistics Estonia, said that manufacturing output declined in March, similarly to February. “The decline was mainly due to the 4.1% decrease in the manufacture of food products. The output of the manufacture of food products has fallen for three months now – the year-on-year decrease was 6.9% in January and 5.3% in February. The main reason behind this is the continued decline in retail trade volume and demand, coupled with inflation,” explained Kadarik.

The volume of production increased in slightly more than half of manufacturing activities. Looking at the major industries, output increased by 5% in the manufacture of wood, by 3.5% in the manufacture of fabricated metal products and by 12.6% in the manufacture of computers, electronic and optical products. The main contributor to increased output in the manufacture of computers, electronic and optical products was the greater production of communication equipment. The manufacture of electrical equipment was up by 0.7%.

In March 2026, 68.6% of the total production of manufacturing was sold to the external market.

Compared with March 2025, the sales of manufacturing production at current prices remained at the same level, according to working-day adjusted data. Domestic sales were down by 1.1%, while export sales grew by 0.6%.

Change in the volume of industrial production in manufacturing compared with corresponding month of previous year (adjusted with the number of working days)

 Change in the volume of industrial production
March 20253.9
April 20257.6
May 20252.9
June 20257.1
July 20252.4
August 20253.4
September 20250.6
October 2025-1.1
November 20253.9
December 20251.8
January 20262.8
February 2026-1.2
March 2026-1.2

In March compared with February, the seasonally adjusted total industrial production fell by 2.5% and the production of manufacturing rose by 0.7%.

In the energy sector, output decreased by 19.5% at constant prices. Based on the volume of production in megawatt-hours, electricity production fell by 23.6% and heat production by 9.6% in March year on year. “Electricity production fell due to increased imports. The decreased production of heat was related to the weather in March being warmer than usual,” noted Kadarik.

The volume index and trend of production in manufacturing, January 2015 – March 2026 (2021 = 100)

 IndexTrend
January 201566.974.9
February 201568.875.3
March 201581.075.6
April 201577.175.5
May 201577.275.5
June 201578.376.0
July 201570.976.1
August 201572.375.8
September 201580.775.8
October 201582.575.7
November 201576.574.6
December 201569.073.7
January 201664.874.2
February 201670.875.4
March 201679.775.8
April 201678.876.2
May 201682.476.7
June 201679.577.4
July 201669.077.8
August 201679.177.9
September 201685.078.7
October 201682.879.3
November 201683.979.2
December 201675.278.5
January 201771.377.9
February 201771.778.4
March 201787.479.4
April 201778.279.7
May 201784.979.6
June 201784.979.8
July 201769.379.5
August 201781.079.4
September 201783.580.2
October 201787.781.0
November 201784.581.5
December 201775.482.7
January 201879.383.0
February 201875.782.0
March 201884.981.7
April 201884.782.3
May 201889.982.6
June 201885.782.5
July 201874.182.8
August 201883.983.3
September 201884.483.9
October 201892.885.2
November 201892.287.3
December 201879.290.0
January 201988.292.2
February 201986.892.9
March 201997.793.0
April 201995.093.3
May 2019102.392.8
June 201989.991.7
July 201983.091.2
August 201990.791.2
September 201993.090.6
October 201998.690.2
November 201993.590.5
December 201982.391.1
January 202085.392.7
February 202088.993.0
March 202095.488.5
April 202082.383.0
May 202081.282.2
June 202088.785.7
July 202083.288.8
August 202084.089.8
September 202096.790.9
October 202099.592.1
November 202094.592.4
December 202088.293.2
January 202185.794.7
February 202187.395.5
March 2021105.496.7
April 2021102.798.4
May 2021104.599.5
June 2021102.599.8
July 202188.0100.0
August 202198.2100.9
September 2021109.8101.9
October 2021105.4102.3
November 2021108.7102.6
December 2021101.8102.8
January 202293.1102.7
February 202294.4103.4
March 2022116.1104.8
April 2022107.1105.4
May 2022113.2103.7
June 2022102.5100.3
July 202282.098.0
August 2022102.297.8
September 2022103.997.7
October 2022101.295.8
November 202296.193.6
December 202289.593.6
January 202390.694.5
February 202385.494.0
March 2023103.592.9
April 202389.591.8
May 202398.390.9
June 202394.390.7
July 202378.691.1
August 202395.090.7
September 202391.389.1
October 202392.688.1
November 202393.089.1
December 202386.190.1
January 202480.989.4
February 202485.289.0
March 202491.789.4
April 202493.989.8
May 202499.690.1
June 202488.789.3
July 202478.888.5
August 202487.189.0
September 202493.390.5
October 2024100.792.0
November 202496.292.9
December 202486.392.5
January 202583.491.7
February 202585.192.2
March 202597.893.5
April 202598.594.5
May 202599.994.7
June 202595.093.5
July 202580.791.8
August 202587.891.3
September 202596.391.5
October 202599.592.7
November 202597.494.6
December 202590.194.6
January 202683.693.0
February 202684.192.0
March 202699.291.9

Volume index of industrial production – an index that expresses the change in the volume of industrial production at constant prices compared with the base period. The producer price index is used for calculating the production values at constant prices.

Value index of industrial sales – an index that expresses the change in the value of sold industrial production at current prices compared with the base period.

Industry is the largest sector of the economy and an important driver of economic growth. The index of industrial production covers the economic indicators of three industrial activities: mining, energy production, and manufacturing.

Statistics Estonia performs the statistical activity “Production indices” for the Ministry of Economic Affairs and Communications with the aim to determine the economic situation in Estonia.

Data as at 6 May 2026 are published. The indicator values may change if there are any revisions made in the data sources after this date.

Information about various industrial activities can be found on the business dashboards. See also the industry section on our website. More detailed data have been published in the statistical database

When using Statistics Estonia’s data and graphs, please indicate the source.

For further information:

Annaliisa Köss
Media Relations Partner
Marketing and Dissemination Department
Statistics Estonia
Tel +372 5696 6484
press [at] stat.ee (press[at]stat[dot]ee)

Photo: Shutterstock