Industrial production was down by 1.5% in September

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Posted on 5 November 2025, 8:00

According to Statistics Estonia, in September 2025, the total production of industrial enterprises decreased by 1.5% at constant prices compared with September last year. Among the three industrial sectors, output increased by 4.8% in mining but decreased by 18.5% in energy production and by 0.4% in manufacturing.

Helle Bunder, leading analyst at Statistics Estonia, explained that manufacturing output, which had shown growth for eight months, started to decrease slightly in September. “Although output increased in most larger manufacturing industries, there was a notable fall in production volumes in several medium-sized manufacturing activities. A more significant decrease occurred in the manufacture of shale oil (37.9%), machinery and equipment n.e.c. (22.2%) and beverages (21%),” she added.

Bunder mentioned price cuts in September as one of the reasons for the decreased output of shale oil. “In the manufacture of beverages, there was a fall in the volumes of malt beer and low-alcohol beverages produced in September,” said Bunder. 

Looking at the larger industries, output increased in the manufacture of food products (2.2%), computers and electronic products (8.1%), fabricated metal products (10.2%) and wood (5.1%). 

66.6% of the total production of manufacturing in September 2025 was sold to the external market. Compared with September 2024, the sales of manufacturing production increased by 1.9% at current prices according to working-day adjusted data. Domestic sales increased by 4.7% and export sales by just 0.4%.

Change in the volume of industrial production in manufacturing compared with corresponding month of previous year (adjusted with the number of working days)

In September compared with August, the seasonally adjusted total industrial production fell by 1.1% and the production of manufacturing by 1.6%.

In energy production, the volume of electricity production (in megawatt-hours) decreased by 23.8% in September, while the production of heat increased by 5.1%. “The decrease in electricity production in July, August as well as September was due to the fact that domestic production was replaced by cheaper imports of renewable energy,” explained Bunder.

The volume index and trend of production in manufacturing, January 2015 – September 2025 (2021 = 100)


Volume index of industrial production – an index that expresses the change in the volume of industrial production at constant prices compared with the base period. The producer price index is used for calculating the production values at constant prices.

Value index of industrial sales – an index that expresses the change in the value of sold industrial production at current prices compared with the base period.

Industry is the largest sector of the economy and an important driver of economic growth. The index of industrial production covers the economic indicators of three industrial activities: mining, energy production, and manufacturing.

Statistics Estonia performs the statistical activity “Production indices” for the Ministry of Economic Affairs and Communications with the aim to determine the economic situation in Estonia.

Data as at 5 November are published. The indicator values may change if there are any revisions made in the data sources after this date.

Information about various industrial activities can be found on the business dashboards. See also the industry section on our website. More detailed data have been published in the statistical database

When using Statistics Estonia’s data and graphs, please indicate the source.
 

For further information:

Susann Kivi
Media Relations Manager
Marketing and Dissemination Department
Statistics Estonia
Tel +372 5696 6484
press [at] stat.ee (press[at]stat[dot]ee)

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